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Deutsche Bank Championship.

1 point e/w Henrik Stenson outright @ 33/1 generally available.

It has been a lean few months for Stenson but there are signs that he coming back to form. 48th last week may not look great but his final round 74 included a 9 followed by a 6. The nine was a result of getting a very poor lie in one of Hoylakes punishing bunkers and taking 3 to get out and 3 putting to compound that. Without that freak score, Stenson was heading for a good score and a high finish. His putting has improved, he still hits miles and if he has finally got is iron play back, then he should thrive on this course.

lost 2 points

6 points Casey to beat Howell @ evens with VCBet.

lost 6 points

Casey had a bit of a blip in an otherwise great run of form, The Open was the only time since February that he has finished outside the top 20 in a stroke play event. 13 events played, no missed cuts, 12 top 20’s, 6 top 10’s and 1 win. On recent form he is the European Tours top player. Howell may be 1st in the money list (Casey 2nd) but Howell’s game has gone of the boil, last 3 events mc/35/mc. Both players have good course form, but Casey’s current form makes him the call.

5 points Casey to beat Cabrera @ evens with Paddy Power.

lost 5 points

Cabrera has the kind of big hitting, good iron play game to win this event (was 2nd last year), but he is likely to be mentally drained after his near miss at Hoylake last week. He went into the final round as a contender but he quickly folded with a triple bogey on the second hole and all in all played a pretty poor round. Under normal circumstances Casey might well be the favourite between these two, but it seems that PP is reading too much into Casey’s poor week in Liverpool. This course will suit his game much more than any links course.

Adding:

US Bank Championship

2 points e/w Scott Verplank @ 18/1 with BetDirect, SportingOdds.

lost 4 points

Taking a chance that he will not be too jet lagged after his trip across to Liverpool last week. This short but tight course will suit Verplanks accurate game (2nd here last year). He is a great putter, very accurate off the tee and is ranked 2nd for par 3 performance, which is important as there are no less than 5 par 3's  in this par 70 course. Verplank is not a great 'winner' but this is a pretty weak event and if he is to win his 5th tour event, it will be on a course like this.