Golf. Johnnie Walker Championship – Gleneagles. A better quality field than in recent years, but the big names are coming back from the golfing carnage that was the US Open and it is likely that they will be jet lagged and shell shocked. So while Monty, Casey and Bjorn head the betting it could pay to look at the players who had last week off. The weather conditions will be somewhat different as well with Thursday looking set to be windy and showery. 6 points Paul Lawrie to beat Paul McGinley @ 10/11 with Stan James. lost 6 points McGinley’s current form is poor, in last 7 tournaments he has missed 6 cuts and finished 50th in the other. Granted he has been playing in quality events, but he is at least 1 shot per round worse than Lawrie on recent form. Lawrie loves playing in Scotland when the wind is blowing and the rain falling. He knows most players hate it and it gives a better chance of winning. Sadly for him the conditions will improve for the weekend, but he could well get off to a decent start, while the out of form McGinley, returning from a missed cut in the US Open, is hardly going to look forward to playing another hard course in unpleasant conditions. Another missed cut for the Irishman looks very likely. 5 points Robert Karlsson to beat Paul McGinley @ 4/5 with SportingOdds. won 4 points Karlsson is in good form (last 4 – 27/5/14/1) and has finished top 30 in his 2 Gleneagles appearances. Karlsson is as low as 20/1 to win the event, McGinley 50/1 and too short at price. 1 point e/w Anthony Wall @ 40/1 generally available Wall is playing good golf this season. In the last 3 months he has made every cut and has 3 top 6 finishes from 6 events, making his the second lowest scoring average in this period. He is putting better than ever and hitting lots of greens in regulation. If the big name players are not firing on all cylinders, this is the kind of event he could win. lost 2 points Booze Allen Classic 1 point e/w Brett Wetterich @ 33/1 generally available. We won big on Brett 6 weeks ago and while he is no longer a 100/1 shot, he still looks good value at 33/1 as he remains one of the hottest players on the US Tour. His last 7 events read 6/4/mc/1/mc/2/mc and while 3 mc’s in the last 5 may not look good he can be forgiven for two of them. A missed cut after a maiden tour win is almost to be expected, mental let down after the almighty high of that life changing win. He showed that is game was still strong with a second place in the Memorial and the missed cut the following week was probably down to tiredness. He had to play 27 holes on the Saturday, 19 on Sunday and then on the Monday he had to play 36 holes in an attempt to qualify for the US Open. Little surprise that he was golfed out for his last event. He has had a week off to recharge his batteries and it will be no surprise should Brett be well up the leader board again come Sunday. His recent stats make for impressive reading, on 3 month form he is ranked 1st for total driving, 2nd for ball striking (driving and GIR combined), 20th for putting average, 2nd for scoring average and 1st for rd4 scoring (no worries about his bottle). Long, straight, a good putter and mentally tough, that is combination that will get results. lost 2 points |
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