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Golf.

Mercedes Benz Championship – Gut Larchenhof. GC.

No cut for this elite field of 78 players. The course played host the old Linde Masters for many years and it is a Nicklaus design which does seem to favour the longer drivers as they can reach the par 5’s in 2. Traditionally the scoring is low and with the weather set to be reasonable for all 4 days, it will be another birdie fest.

1 point e/w Angel Cabrera @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes, BetFred.

lost 2 points

This is a course that should suit the big hitting US Open winner very nicely and he has had a couple of decent finishes in recent years, 9^th in 2005 and 11^th in a rain shortened event in 2000. There is always the worry with Cabrera that he doesn’t really care if he wins or not and he has not played well since winning the US Open in June. There were signs that he is coming back to form with two decent results in America in the last fortnight, 23 rd and 30^th in stronger fields than this.

1 point e/w Ricardo Gonzalez @ 66/1 with Stan James, BlueSq.

lost 2 points

Another big hitting Argentinean who loves the course. His last 4 outings at Gut Larchenhof have produced form figures of  7/19/17/10. His 2007 form is not great but it was interesting that is best two finishes this season came in the BMW International in Germany on another big hitters track, and in the recent Johnnie Walker Championships at Gleneagles , another course designed by Jack Nicklaus. A decent price on a player that should be competitive this weekend.

1 point e/w Nick Dougherty @ 25/1 with BlueSq, Hills.

Lost 2 points

I am not a huge fan of Dougherty from a punting point of view as he does tend let winning chances slip through his fingers. However, with course form figures of 3/wd/ 6/2, he cannot be ignored. His recent form is not totally convincing but his 2^nd in Sweden recently suggests that he is in pretty good shape.

6 points Fredrick Andersson-Hed to beat Louis Oosthuizen @ 1.88 with Unibet

Won 5.28 points

Andersson-Hed is having a reasonable season, three top 6 finishes in April/May and was back in the top 10 last time out at the Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles. Oosthuizen has had three top 4 finishes this season, but his recent form is very poor, with the exception of a 4^th place in the Scottish Open, he has missed every cut in his last 7 events. Neither has played this course particularly well and this looks likely to be decided on current form and it is the Dutchman who is well ahead on that front.