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EDS Byron Nelson Championship, TPC Four Seasons Resort, Las Colinas, Texas.

There have been two major changes to the Byron Nelson this year. The first change is only one course will be used, Las Colinas and the second is that it has been significantly altered since last year. All 18 holes have been affected with over 160 trees replanted in different positions and the over-all length of the course extended by 200 yards. The course should be more difficult now however course form will only be about half as important as normal.

Value match bet with Boylesports

Evens           Donald             v            Immelman             5 units

Luke Donald has outstanding course form which must count for something despite all of the changes, 19,14,18,6,2 . Trevor Immelman may still be in shock after winning the Masters (I know I am ! ) and with all the media attention he may not perform at his best. Certainly his form going into the Masters was not good  0,65,48,40,-,0,1,-.

Value match bet with BetFred

4/5        Scott          v             Immelman                 5 units

Adam Scott is a very consistent player as his overall form hardly changes from year to year. Last year he made 17 of 19 cuts with ten top 25s. Immelman made only 6 top 25s and missed the cut six times.

Value match bet with Ladbrokes

10/11      Jacobson           v              Wetterich            6 units

Fredrik Jacobson seems to come in under the radar as he is a good player without being noticed that much. He didn't play in the Masters which may be an advantage and finished a creditable 12th last week. Brett Wetterich is over-rated by virtue of winning this event two years ago but has poor recent form , -,-,-,61,-,70,0,- . He misses the cut far too often, eleven times in 2007.

Adding:
 

Value match bet with BetInternet             tie no bet
 
4/5       Baird            v              Hoffman               5 units
 
Briny Baird has been playing steady golf this season with a number of recent high finishes 49,0,-,4,12,47,-,17 . Charley Hoffman finished 6th in his last tournament but before that had eight missed cuts on the trot. Last year he missed twelve cuts compared to five by Baird .
 
Value match bet with Pinnacle          tie no bet
 
+147     J.Day             v           Hoffman        4 units
 
Both Jason Day and Charley Hoffman are badly out of form and could both miss the cut. With the outcome like a toss of a coin siding with the man at good odds against looks like the value.