|
The Pebble Beach National
Pro-Am
California.
This is
a pro/am event played over 3 courses with the cut occurring after 3
rounds. Unusually it is only 60 players and ties who go through to
play the final round on Pebble Beach the host course. The Pebble Beach
course can be tough as it is by the coast and exposed to the elements.
However it normally plays the easiest of the 3. Spyglass Hill is
normally the most difficult ,closely followed by Poppy Hills. Long
hitters are favoured over accurate drivers as can be seen by the
recent winners ,Love twice, Singh and Mickelson.
This
event is not to everyone's liking as the rounds can take 6 hours to
complete with the pro/am format. Poa Annua bentgrass greens are used
on all 3 courses.
Value match bet with
Olympic tie no bet ( 11/10 with Bet365 )
Evens Donald
v Dimarco 7 units
Donald
is under-rated as he hasn't won an official tournament in the States
yet. Last year he made 17 of 18 cuts and has good course form
-,0,-,17,11. DiMarco has just won a tournament on the European Tour
but as the standard is not as high in Europe his rating has not
improved that much. He has only played the course once in the last 5
years when he came 63rd.
Value match bet with
Olympic tie no bet
-140 Furyk
v DiMarco 6 units
Furyk
has not played for 3 weeks but before that finished 3rd and 7th. Last
year he had 14 top 25s and 10 top 10s and made 23 of 26 cuts. DiMarco
had only 10 top 25s and 5 top 10s and missed the cut 7 times. Also
DiMarco has not played Pebble Beach for 5 years.
Value group with Stan James
Singh 7/2 2
units
Mickelson
Furyk
Donald
Dimarco
Singh
has excellent long term form. He had 25 top 25s last year and 18 top
10s. He won this event 2 years ago and is so laId back that he is not
bothered by the 6 hour rounds.
Value group with BlueSquare
Singh 5/2
2 units
Mickelson
Furyk
Dimarco
Finishing Position
0.5 unit per point
Buy Furyk at 20 with IG
Furyk's record at Pebble Beach is not that great -,30,5,-,39 which
is an average of 24.7.The format may not be to his liking and
ofcourse he is not a long hitter.
Buy Oberholser at 31 with
Spread-ex
Oberholser is not a long hitter and although he has started the year
well his average finishing position for the last 3 years is 35.7
Sell Pernice at 38 with
Cantor
Pernice has played well on the course 36,39,15,7,0 and his 3 year
average finishing position is 35.3
Sell Bohn at 40 with IG
Bohn
is quite a long hitter and finished 26th in this event last year.
|
