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The Honda Classic
Sunrise course, Mirasol, Palm
Beach Gardens, Florida.
The
Sunrise course has only been played for the last 2 years and is long
at 7416 yards. Not surprisingly it strongly favours long hitters over
accurate drivers. However in 2004 it was won by a shorter hitter, Todd
Hamilton, although Love was in 2nd place. The course played quite
tough last year as the undulating greens can be tricky in dry weather.
With the big guns missing outsiders have a good chance.
Value match bet with
Olympic tie no bet
10/11 Matteson
v Bertsch 8 units better with Pinnacle
Troy
Matheson won the Nationwide tour last year winning 2 tournaments along
the way. He made 24 of 27 cuts and had 17 top 25s and 12 top 10s.
Bertsch finished 8th on the Nationwide last year with 1 win. He missed
the cut 10 times though , had 8 top 25s and 5 top 10s. So although
they have performed similarly in the 7 tournaments they have played
this year on the PGA tour Matteson played significantly better last
year.
Value match bet with Bet365 or
Ladbrokes
Evens Couples
v Jacobson 6 units
Couples
has been in good form this year -,24,63,-,9,4,33,- , and played well
on the course 25,22. He is 12th on Driving Distance which is useful
on this course and longer than Jacobson.
Value match bet with Hills
10/11 Donald
v Harrington 5 units
Donald
is a very consistent player who doesn't win many tournaments. The
ideal combination for match-bets. He has started the season very well
24,-,7,12,9 and made 17 of 18 cuts last year with 12 top 25s and 5
top 10s. Harrington is not quite as good as he used to be ,making only
11 of 16 cuts last year with 6 top 25s. He won this event last year
and will be over-rated as a consequence . Course form was not an
important factor last year on this course.
Value group with SportingBet
Toms
Donald
Love
Rollins
Estes
11/1 1 unit
Estes
is always under-rated and although the course does not favour him he
has been playing well this season 24,-,-,-,12,18,0 .
Value group with Ladbrokes
Westwood 7/2
2 units
Baddeley
Faxon
Watson
Calcavechia
Westwood has enjoyed good success in the States in the past and has
been playing well this season 0,28,5,33,- .
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