Turkish GP - Sunday Update.
A nice result yesterday with Massa just piping the irrepressible Hamilton, Raikkonen again making a last corner mistake and Alonso looking to be on a different strategy from Hamilton and likely to be heavier than the three in front. The McLarens both start from the dirty side of the track and we saw what a problem that was for the even number grid positions in Hungary with 7 of the 11 dropping places on the first lap. It looks good for Ferrari but McLaren are close enough to cause them problems if they have the slightest weakness. Alonso, on a different strategy to the other three, could be the biggest threat and he might just make it 3 second places in a row in Turkey. Worth a a couple of small bets on the straight tricast market 1 point Massa/Alonso/Raikkonen @ 20/1 with Ladbrokes 1 point Raikkonen/Alonso/Massa @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes lost 2 points I am interested in Alonso’s strategy, his 4th place on the grid was down to more than just a scrappy lap, he has more fuel on board and I think his plan is very much to beat Hamilton. He is the man he has to beat for the Championship, not to mention the small matter of who’s the King of the Castle within McLaren. My guess is that Alonso knows this is a race that is very likely to be won by a Ferrari, but if he can get 2nd or 3rd, his bid for the third Drivers Title in a row will have been improved. He must beat Hamilton and he is not without a good chance of doing just that. Certainly the price on offer strikes me as being way too big. 3 points Alonso to beat Hamilton @ 15/8 with Stan James. won 5.62 points Button required an engine change and will start from last place. Coulthard qualified a disappointing 13th as the team and Coulthard in particular were hopeful of a strong weekend, but were only a fraction quicker than the Hondas. However, starting 9 places ahead on the grid does give DC a very big head start over Button and it is hard to see the Honda driver finishing ahead of Coulthard if both have a trouble free race. The Red Bulls terrible record of unreliability seems to a thing of the past with just 1 retirement from both cars in the last 4 races. Indeed it is Honda who might have a problem, with Button retiring with engine failure in Hungary and obviously having a problem yesterday. The odds on the Scot are far too big. 7 points Coulthard to beat Button @ 1.73 with Coral. won 5.11 The Ferraris have dominated the fasted lap betting this season with 8 from 11 and the last 5 in a row. Massa and Raikkonen have 4 each. Massa looks a reasonable bet with a saver on Raikkonen. 4 points Massa to set fastest lap @ 9/4 with BlueSq, Paddy Power lost 4 points 2 points Raikkonen to set fastest lap @ 7/4 with BlueSq. won 3.50 points |
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