Malaysian GP – Saturday update. The weather forecast remains the biggest barrier to having a decent punt on this race. The forecasters are still saying thunderstorms blah blah blah, just like they have been for the whole weekend. But what have we seen? Nothing for the F1 guys and even the rain that fell for the GP 2 race this afternoon was hardly of biblical proportions. The wise punter will wait until just before the off, or even better, have a bet in running when the conditions are more certain. However I am writing this some twelve hours before the start of the race and I am not paid to sit on the fence. All I can say is that if it does rain, lay the favourites or have small stakes on anything over 50/1. Today’s qualifying saw the McLarens looking very much the poor relations to Ferrari. The fact that both drivers were handed a five place grid penalty for blocking Heidfeld and Alonso’s final run smacked of politics, but they have not looked on the pace anyway. It seems the powers that be have decided that Ferrari must be given a chance to make up for the Melbourne farce. Did anyone else see other cars cruising round while Heidfeld and Alonso were on their final runs? No. It just must have been me. Let’s just say that that everything is set up for a Ferrari win. Honda have been a good news story in the sense that everyone expected them to be total rubbish, while in fact they have managed to get a car that is very much in the competitive midfield pack. Button is certainly one of the drivers that could do well in a damp race (he believes that only chaos will reign if things get very wet) and even in a dry race he could score a point. Starting from 11th on the gird he can choose his best strategy and as a result of his 1st corner elimination in Melbourne he has the advantage of a fresh engine and gearbox. Worth a small interest. 2 points Button to finish in the points @ 6/4 with Boylesports, Totesport. lost 2 points Jarno Trulli did a great job to finish 5th in Q3 and now that the Macca’s have been dumped back five places he will start from 3rd on the grid. This is the dirty side of the track and he is a bit of an enigma in terms of his racing ability as opposed to his qualifying pace, but 8/1 to finish on the podium does look a little over priced. 1 point Trulli to finish on the podium @ 7/1 with Extrabet. lost 1 point This really is not a great betting race. With question marks about the weather and the reliability of the front running teams, I find it hard to have any great enthusiasm about punting on this race. I will very much look forward to watching it, especially if we do get rain, but there will be may better opportunities throughout the season. |
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