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Italian GP – Qualifying.

Ferrari had a bad morning. Raikkonen’s car was heavily damaged in a huge shunt and his week has now be badly compromised with so little running yesterday and today. It looks like the team will have to but his engine in the back of the spare car, which of course he has driven at all this weekend. Perhaps more worrying is that Massa in the other Ferrari was over 0.5 seconds slower than the McLaren of Alonso, a big gap.

It was telling that Heidfeld, interviewed earlier, says he believes that they might be able to compete with Ferrari this weekend, but made no mention of McLaren. I would suggest that he knows that they are just too fast to catch and his target will be third place.

Pole position looks like its between the two McLaren drivers and for the last seven qualifying sessions, it has been Hamilton who has looked by far the better exponent of the flying lap. Since Monaco, Alonso has not beaten Hamilton on merit once. He cheated in Hungary and Hamilton suffered a mechanical failure in Germany, otherwise it has all been Hamilton.

Alonso has been quick all weekend, but like some of the all time greats, Hamilton has that special ability to find the perfect lap just when he needs to. He is my favourite for pole, but the bookies say Alonso. A good time to bet.

4 points Hamilton to be fastest qualifier @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes.

Lost 4 points

For the last qualifying session in Turkey we successfully opposed Vettel with Liuzzi, banking on the youngsters lack of time in the car being a big enough handicap to allow Liuzzi to out qualify him. This weekend, the young German looks worth backing. He had plenty of track time here in last weeks test as well has his time yesterday and this morning. He will be much more comfortable in the car and can push harder. He was faster than Liuzzi in the test and has been faster in all three sessions this weekend. He is a more talented driver and has the opportunity to confirm it this afternoon.

4 points Vettel to out qualify Liuzzi @ 11/10 with Skybet.

won 4.4 points